NFL playoff predictions: Early Championship Sunday picks, odd

The Chiefs were able to sneak past the Bills owing to Patrick Mahomes' sorcery and explosive plays. 

But don't be tricked. Last Sunday, the Bills walked up and down the field. 

Buffalo had a 61% run success rate, rushing more than 180 yards at nearly five yards per carry.

The Bills finished with 368 total yards and 27 first downs, dominating the Chiefs' front seven on every drive.

And that's been the Chiefs' problem all season: their rush defense stinks. Kansas City is ranked 27th in Rush Defense DVOA and 28th in EPA per Rush allowed.

Only four NFL defenses allowed more yards per run than the Chiefs (4.5). 

This bodes poorly for Baltimore's dominating rush-first offense.

The Ravens top the league in rush rate (51%), relying on Lamar Jackson's rushing skills to finish third in EPA per Rush and Rush Success Rate. 

The Bills are a similarly dominant rush offense, but they do not rely as heavily on the run game.

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